Zafir has had a lifelong interest in how we form beliefs and how many people seem immune to counter-evidence. This interest resulted in Zafir diving into research literature, experimenting with difficult conversations and becoming an amateur ethnographer.
Recently, some of his findings have been gaining traction with international researchers in epistemology and the psychology of belief. Zafir has collaborated with the Cognitive Immunology Research Initiative and The Evolutionary Philosophy Circle. He writes, gives presentations, and talks about why we believe and why he thinks it best we believe as little as possible. His ideas are informed by recent research from cognitive psychology and neuroscience and his own observations.
Zafir lives in the top of the South Island, New Zealand.
The Bayesian Balance: how thinking in ratios can help us avoid the truth trap.
In his talk, Zafir will introduce a modified version of a concept called Reason’s Fulcrum.
He will use this concept to demonstrate Bayesian Reasoning and how it can help us to revise our positions appropriately in response to new evidence. This way of reasoning has implications for how we think about Truth, Belief, and certainty.
Zafir makes the case for avoiding absolute certainty, believing as little as possible, and rejecting the notion of the Truth (with a capital T).
- Zafir presented the TED Talk, Our Worldview Alters Our View of the World in November last year.